This Week's Herman Trend Alert Women---Expanding their Sphere of Influence

The Herman Trend Alert November 18, 2009 Addressing Physician Shortages According to the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC), 250,000 active physicians will retire by 2020. Addressing this shortfall will be a daunting task. Fortunately for the United States, medical school enrollment has reached a record high. A recently released study conducted by the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) reports that enrollment in 2008 increased 1.6 percent over the previous year, resulting in a record-high 18,036 first-year medical students. The study found that the total number of applicants reached 42,315, and the almost 32,000 first-time applicants was also a record high. Remarkably, the number of first-year Hispanic medical students increased by 10 percent, while African Americans made up 7.2 percent of new students---the same rate as the previous year. Moreover, according to the "Arkansas Democrat-Gazette", since 2003, first-year enrollment has increased by 10 percent or more in 49 US medical schools. Darrell Kirch, AAMC's CEO, believes the growth to a higher capacity at medical schools is related to the establishment of new branch campuses across the country. In addition, the increase in positive portrayals of physicians in popular culture, including in television show, like "Grey's Anatomy", "House", and "Mercy" has happily had an affirmative effect on young people wanting to join these professions. Dan Scheirer, associate dean at Duke University's Trinity College, said the Iraq war and the September 11 attacks have affected applicants' views of the world. Applicants "are in a world that is changing and scary and unstable and they see medicine as a stable career", Scheirer added, "It is a way of working out anxiety and doing something for the benefit of mankind". In another attempt to address the shortages, the US Congress is considering legislation that could worsen the current brain drain of doctors and nurses from poor countries. Global health advocates believe the worst affected will be African countries like Ghana, Ethiopia, and Uganda. Domestic workforce development would be a better, though longer-term, approach. Clearly, there is an urgent need to promote the physician professions to young people worldwide, because even with increasing enrollments, physician shortages will have devastating consequences on humanity. © Copyright 1998- by The Herman Group, Inc. -- reproduction for publication is encouraged, with the following attribution: From "The Herman Trend Alert," by Roger Herman and Joyce Gioia, Strategic Business Futurists. (800) 227-3566 or http://www.hermangroup.com. The Herman Trend Alert is a trademark of The Herman Group, Inc." EMPLOYERS AND JOBSEEKERS: MARK YOUR CALENDARS Advertise at or attend VetJobs Virtual Career Fairs. VetJobs, the top veterans' job board, and PSI, the premier diversity job fair producer, are teaming up to launch these VeteransCONNECT events. Employer registration is now open with loading by February 15th. Candidate loading begins March 1st. Expect 25-30 employers and an attendee goal of 2,000 skilled jobseekers. Promoted extensively, early registration begins NOW. To register or request additional information, contact VetJobs at 877-838-5627 or email info@vetjobs.com; Employers: Mention the Herman Trend Alert to receive a Bonus. LOOKING FOR A UNIQUE VALENTINE’S GIFT? Give the gift of leadership advice in our weekly Lessons in Leadership to help your supervisors and managers remind your leaders about what’s really important The 52-week subscription is only $47, a bargain when you think about the savings to your organization in reduced turnover. Quantity discounts available by emailing Joyce at joyce@hermangroup.com. http://www.hermangroup.com/store/subscription_all.html#3 Order today! PREVENT EMPLOYEE TURNOVER IN 2012 Yes, you can prevent costly employee turnover, when you train your supervisors, managers, and executives. They will learn dozens of low and no-cost strategies and tactics that they can implement right away. We have an impressive track record and stand ready to help you. Call Carl at 336-210-3547 for a no-obligation conference call. Herman Trend Alerts are produced by the Herman Group, strategic business futurists, Certified Management Consultants, authors, and professional speakers. New subscribers are welcome. There is no charge for this public service. The Herman Trend Alert is received by over 30,000 subscribers in 78 countries, in addition to other websites and printed magazines. Do you enjoy receiving this weekly e-mail update? Contact us about our co-branded Trend Alert service. Click here to sign up for the Herman Trend Alert. Subscribe or Unsubscribe to weekly Herman Trend Alert View this week's Herman Trend Alert Archived Weekly Herman Trend Alerts

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