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The Herman Trend Alert December 24, 2008 Global Changes Challenge the Planet A recent report from the United States National Intelligence Council of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) states we are facing changes that society is probably not ready for. By the year 2025, "the accelerating pace of globalization and the emergence of new powers will produce "a world order" vastly different from the system in place for most of the post-World War II era", the study outlines. Their report, titled “Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World” projects a still-preeminent US joined by fast-developing powers, notably India and China, on top of a multipolar international system. In the near-term, the world is headed for increased probability of conflict over scarce resources, including food and water, and the persistence of rogue states and terrorist groups with greater access to nuclear weapons. Widening gaps in birth rates and wealth-to-poverty ratios between the developed and the developing countries along with the uneven impact of climate change, could further aggravate pressures. Muslim states outside the Arab core, notably Turkey and Indonesia, and perhaps even a post-clerical Iran, could take on expanded roles in the new international order. Women in much of Asia and Latin America are achieving higher levels of education than men, a trend that is particularly significant in this human capital-intensive global economy. As governments fail to provide basic security and other services, some states in parts of Africa and South Asia may disappear. By 2025, a worldwide shift to a new technology that replaces oil will be under way or accomplished. The US dollar's role will shrink to "first-among-equals" among key world currencies. The likelihood that nuclear weapons will be used will increase with expanded access to technology and a widening range of options for limited strikes. The impact of climate change will be uneven, with some Northern economies profiting from longer growing seasons and improved access to resource reserves. Clearly, education will be the driving force in addressing these significant challenges. We are less convinced than ODNI of the ability of the US with its current system to compete globally against India and China. © Copyright 1998- by The Herman Group, Inc. -- reproduction for publication is encouraged, with the following attribution: From "The Herman Trend Alert," by Joyce Gioia, Strategic Business Futurist. 1.336.210.3548 or https://hermangroup.com. To sign up, visit https://HermanTrendAlert.com. The Herman Trend Alert is a trademark of The Herman Group, Inc." HEAR JOYCE SPEAK TOMORROW AT 11:30 AM EDT Tomorrow morning, Joyce will be a Fireside Chat Speakers at the Brightside Business Women Empowerment Virtual Conference where she will talk about how business women can use the insights from her new, groundbreaking book, EXPERIENCE RULES, to be successful. Register for FREE at https://brightsideglobaltrade.org/women. GET COACHING FOR YOUR PEOPLE FOR LESS THAN $1/DAY! Gain access to dozens of coaches for the same low price. Find out more by visiting https://ingomu.com/joyceg JOYCE IS ON THE RADIO EVERYDAY NOW To listen to Joyce's TV shows on the radio, simply visit RadioFutures.com. Joyce's show is streaming every day at 3:00PM Pacific Time. To read this Herman Trend Alert on the web: https://hermangroup.com/alert/archive_3-29-2023.html. Herman Trend Alerts are produced by the Herman Group, strategic business futurists, Certified Management Consultants, authors, and professional speakers. New subscribers are always welcome. There is no charge for this public service. The Herman Trend Alert is read by over 30,000 people in 90 countries, including other websites and printed periodicals. Click here to sign up for the Herman Trend Alert. Do you enjoy receiving this weekly e-mail update? Contact us about our co-branded Herman Trend Alert service. Subscribe or Unsubscribe to weekly Herman Trend Alert View this week's Herman Trend Alert Archived Weekly Herman Trend Alerts

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