This Week's Herman Trend Alert

Industries in Desperate
Need of Skilled Employees

 

  The Herman Trend Alert

August 1, 2000

Pink Slips in Paradise

150 Days until January 1, 2001

The bloom is off of the dot-com rose. A number of the start-ups that held so much promise are floundering on the beach of the real world. What this means is while we may be experiencing a Brave New World of enterprise, not ALL the rules have changed. Companies still need to make a profit, and those that are not profitable will NOT remain.

Upon inception, many of the young up-starts were cash rich and they spent like drunken sailors. They splurged large sums on traditional advertising, lavish parties, and other inappropriate expenses - without regard to ROI. They rode the crest of the dot-com wave for all it was worth.

Unfortunately for many, that wave did not carry them into the safety of shore. Instead, they became trapped in a whirlpool of unfulfilled expectations. Somewhere along the way, the sea calmed enough for more rational minds to prevail. Venture capitalists and sponsoring corporate entities became less tolerant of delayed gratification. When these newbies did not have rational explanations for their funders, these upstarts found themselves with their boogie boards pulled away.

These developments have even greater implications for the labor market. Seduced away by the potential of a life of ease, of millionaire status, and an opportunity to be part of the IT revolution, some of the brightest stars in corporate firmament eschewed conventional career pathing. Expecting to work hard and be rewarded accordingly, they jumped into to the new dot-com sea and started swimming to catch the wave.

However, after months of 16 to 20-hour days with little end in sight and promises that were not kept, they began to feel disillusioned. Many left of their own volition, choosing to retreat into the waiting arms of the traditional corporations. Others received the inevitable pink slips. The party was over.

However, we maintain this development is not bad news: The labor market can surely use the relief and will absorb these refugees without even a blink. Equally important, we forecast a return to emphasis on profitability as a more valid measure of success than stock price.


© Copyright 1998- by The Herman Group, Inc. -- reproduction for publication is encouraged, with the following attribution: From "The Herman Trend Alert," by Joyce Gioia, Strategic Business Futurist. 336-210-3547 or http://www.hermangroup.com. The Herman Trend Alert is a trademark of The Herman Group, Inc."

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Join Joyce and our friends at TFI's 3rd annual conference "MiniTrends 2014: Insight, Innovation & Strategy" on Sept. 26 in Austin, TX! Keynotes include world-renowned Futurist David P. Snyder and Bazaarvoice founder Brett Hurt. Turbo-charge your company's success by implementing MiniTrends methodology. Network, learn, and trade ideas. Use Code Herman2014 to SAVE 20% off fee. Sponsorship inquiries welcome. Visit www.minitrends.com/minitrends-2014.

LOOKING FOR A DYNAMIC SPEAKER FOR YOUR BOARD OR ASSOCIATION MEETING?
Our Herman Trend Alert author, Joyce Gioia, is a popular speaker for a wide variety of different groups. For more information about Joyce and a sampling of the topics Joyce can cover, visit http://www.hermangroup.com/joyce.html or call Carol at 336.210.3548. To read this Herman Trend Alert on the web: http:// www.hermangroup.com/alert/archive_8-20-2014.html


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