This Week's Herman Trend Alert Demand-Driven Workforce Development

The Herman Trend Alert September 27, 2006 Teacher Shortage Looming Author/consultant Ira Wolfe, known for his work around the "Perfect Labor Storm," shares a thought-provoking fact from the National Center for Education Information. The center's research reveals that "a total of 40 percent of public school teachers say they don't expect to be in the classroom five years from now. The rate is expected to be even greater among high school teachers, half of whom plan to be out of teaching by 2010." This statistic serves as a serious warning. Replacing forty percent of expertise is difficult under normal conditions. At a time when it's increasingly challenging to recruit enough people to manage moderate attrition, having to acquire suitable replacements for almost half of your workforce can be overwhelming. The issue is complicated by growing needs. The influx of new families into many communities is increasing student populations. More students mean more classrooms…and more teachers. Additionally, student/parent desire for fewer students per class for greater learning intensifies the demand for new teachers. Today's technological advances and the drive to at least stay current with the application of emerging technologies mean that a higher caliber of teacher is usually needed. These conditions come together to create a recruiter's nightmare. To address the needs, school districts are hiring certified teachers whenever they can. They're also hiring people who know their field, but aren't educated as teachers. These subject matter experts are hired as "lateral hires" with the intention of eventually sending them to teacher training. Meanwhile, they are challenged with suddenly having to manage a learning environment without preparation . . . and being expected to produce students who can pass the required tests. To take advantage of this resource, school administrators will strive to build student motivation. Schools will become more creative in their organizational structures, teacher qualifications, recruiting, and teacher utilization. Teacher's aides and parents will become more involved with both teaching and discipline. Local business leaders will provide mentors and role models. These changes will affect what students learn, the maturity of their approach, their ability to pass the end-of-course tests, and their chances of landing a good job. © Copyright 1998-2008 by The Herman Group, Inc. -- reproduction for publication is encouraged, with the following attribution: From "The Herman Trend Alert," by Roger Herman and Joyce Gioia, Strategic Business Futurists. (800) 227-3566 or http://www.hermangroup.com. The Herman Trend Alert is a trademark of The Herman Group, Inc." DON'T BE LEFT BEHIND! If you've been thinking about attending our valuable Employee Retention Specialist Certificate Program, don't delay--only three spaces remain. With the employment market heating up, many positions are literally impossible to fill. Attend this course and you will learn dozens of low-/no-cost valuable strategies to attract and retain the talent you need. Recertification credit from HRCI. Next program: May 22-23, Charleston, SC. Call Carol at 336-282-9370 or visit http://www.employeeretentionspecialist.com. GET INSIDE THE MINDS OF YOUR EMPLOYEES Find out what's really going on inside the hearts and minds of your employees. Our InnerViews interviewing service uses SPHRs and PHRs, certified human resource professionals to probe for the information you really need to know. Exit and Stay Interviews, as well as Why-Didn't-You-Take-Our-Offer Interviews. Call Rosalie Catalano at 937-648-1918 or read more at: http://www.hermangroup.com/retentionconnection/exit_interviews.html. NEW BABY BONUS Book Joyce to speak on the West Coast in 2008 and receive 100 of her books of your choosing. There is a new baby in the family, Spencer Jay, and Joyce would appreciate more opportunities to watch him grow. For more about Joyce, visit http://www.hermangroup.com/joyce.html or call Joyce at 336-210-3548. Herman Trend Alerts are produced by the Herman Group, strategic business futurists, Certified Management Consultants, authors, and professional speakers. New subscribers are welcome. There is no charge for this public service. The Herman Trend Alert is received by over 30,000 subscribers in 78 countries, in addition to other websites and printed magazines. Do you enjoy receiving this weekly e-mail update? Contact us about our co-branded Trend Alert service. Click here to sign up for the Herman Trend Alert. Subscribe or Unsubscribe to weekly Herman Trend Alert View this week's Herman Trend Alert Archived Weekly Herman Trend Alerts

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