This Week's Herman Trend Alert

HR in Normal 2.0

  The Herman Trend Alert

December 10, 2008

Challenges of Global Workforce Migration

According to the just-released report from the International Organization for Migration (IOM), "people are becoming increasingly mobile. . .to meet the social and economic challenges of globalization". The major factor is their search for employment.

This World Migration Report (WMR) 2008 states "human mobility has become a life choice, driven by disparities in demography, income, and employment opportunities across and within regions". There are more than 200 million international migrants in the world today.

In the last century, the international community decided to allow the free movement of capital, goods, and services. The predictable consequence of that choice is "human mobility on an unprecedented global scale. . .matching the subsequent supply and demand . . . [will remain] a critical challenge".

Within the next 50 years as birth rates fall and working populations age, these developed countries will experience even greater shortages, leaving twice as many people over 60 years of age than children. Demographic trends show that without immigration, the working age population in these countries is expected to decline by 23 percent by 2050.

During this time, the working age population for Africa alone is expected to triple from 408 million in 2005 to 1.12 billion. China and India are likely to account for 40 percent of the global workforce by 2030.

Last month based on a new analysis of data, Saudi Arabia found that "uneducated foreign workers topped the list of criminals"; the Kingdom now restricts immigration to people who are literate. Meanwhile, in the United States, immigration raids on meatpacking plants have led to a company sell-out and bankruptcy.

All of the developed countries of the world have major work to do to determine how much and what kind of immigration they will tolerate. But first, governments must examine the various costs of their actions or be prepared to suffer the consequences.

Our forecast is the developed countries critically needing immigrant labor will further support literacy and numeracy around the world, open their borders, and find ways to protect these required workers. Thus, they will have the people they need to prosper in the future.

© Copyright 1998- by The Herman Group, Inc. -- reproduction for publication is encouraged, with the following attribution: From "The Herman Trend Alert," by Joyce Gioia, Strategic Business Futurist. 336-210-3548 or To sign up, visit The Herman Trend Alert is a trademark of The Herman Group, Inc."

The Association of Professional Futurists proudly presents its annual online learning experiences on Full Spectrum Futures. Network with leading futurists from all over the world. And best of all, it's free to attend, though contributions are encouraged to help defray costs. For more information, visit here.

Excellent translation services from English, French, or German into Spanish. Especially well-versed in medicine/pharma and automobile industries. 5-year Bachelor Degree in Translation. Also editing and proofreading of all kinds of Spanish language documents. Flexible rates, depending on number of words, degree of difficulty/technicality, and turnaround. For an instant quote email Mariana Campora Lesti at or contact her on SKYPE at marianacampora.

Our author Joyce gets quoted in TIME Magazine and other national media on a regular basis. You can, too! Sign up for You will be found by the news media and in Google search: 1. Through your personal search-engine-optimized press room by 39 topics you choose; 2. By news releases pushed out 10 ways including Google News; 3. Be found in the 2020 printed Yearbook of Experts, Authorities & Spokespersons. Save 15% when you register by October 31st @

To read this Herman Trend Alert on the web:

Herman Trend Alerts are produced by the Herman Group, strategic business futurists, Certified Management Consultants, authors, and professional speakers.

New subscribers are always welcome. There is no charge for this public service. The Herman Trend Alert is read by over 30,000 people in 90 countries, including other websites and printed periodicals. Click here to sign up for the Herman Trend Alert.

Do you enjoy receiving this weekly e-mail update? Contact us about our co-branded Herman Trend Alert service.

Subscribe or Unsubscribe to weekly Herman Trend Alert
View this week's Herman Trend Alert
Archived Weekly Herman Trend Alerts


[ Home About Products Resources Media ]


7112 Viridian Lane
Austin, TX 78739
Voice: 336-210-3548
Toll Free in US & Canada: 800-227-3566

  © The Herman Group. All rights reserved.

Web site design by WebEditor Design Services, Inc.